Podcast
Politics is Everything Podcast
Ep. 16: A Tricky Dance ft. Kyle Kondik
In this episode, Kyle Kondik discusses the 2024 Republican presidential primary field even though we’re still about a year away from actual voting. In the RealClearPolitics average of national polls, Donald Trump and Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (who has yet to declare a bid) together get about 75% of the total support. And Trump is leading by 25 percentage points among potential Republican primary voters, 53% to 28%. Is the Republican Party ready to move on from Trump?
Links in this episode:
The Republican Presidential Primary: Still Early, but Maybe Getting Late – Sabato’s Crystal Ball
Ep. 15: What Kind of Society Do We Want ? Ft. Senator Bernie Sanders
“What I wanted to do in the book, It’s OK to Be Angry About Capitalism (Penguin Random House 2023), is to break through the irrelevant discussion that takes place,” Senator Bernie Sanders told an audience at UVA Center for Politics event on March 2, 2023. He continued, “Politics is more than polls, more than elections, more than Democrats attacking Republicans or Republicans attacking Democrats. Real politics to me is about what’s going on in American life today.” To the young people in the crowd, Senator Sanders encouraged them to stay engaged, “Change is not easy. It’s part of a long struggle for justice.”
In this episode, we share Senator Sanders’ remarks and interview with Center Scholar Robert Costa, Chief Election and Campaign Correspondent for CBS News.
Ep. 14: How Likely Is an Electoral College Tie in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?
How likely is an Electoral College tie in the 2024 U.S. presidential election? What are plausible paths to an Electoral College tie? What would happen if there’s an Electoral College tie and the House of Representatives has to decide the election? Kyle Kondik, Managing Director of Sabato’s Crystal Ball walks us through the history, scenarios, and procedures we should be paying attention to in the event no candidate receives a majority of Electoral College votes.
Links in this Episode:
Notes on the State of Politics: March 1, 2023
Republicans Retain Edge in Electoral College Tie
Ep. 13: Battle for House Majority in 2024 Starts As Toss-up ft. Kyle Kondik
Kyle Kondik, Managing Editor of Sabato’s Crystal Ball, discusses House Ratings for 2024, why control of the House of the House Representatives begins as a Toss-up, the most competitive seats and the role that redistricting and gerrymandering will play in determining outcomes.
Links in this episode:
Initial House Ratings: Battle for Majority Starts as a Toss-up, Kyle Kondik, Sabato’s Crystal Ball
The hidden dynamic that could tip control of the House, Ronald Brownstein, CNN
Limits of Partisanship in Citizen Preferences on Redistricting, Devin McCarthy
Ep. 12: What Happened in Virginia Special and Wisconsin Supreme Court Elections? ft. J. Miles Coleman
On February 21, 2023, Jennifer McClellan handily won the special election to serve Virginia’s Fourth Congressional District, making her the first Black woman to represent Virginia in Congress, and Wisconsin held a primary for the most important judicial race of the year in the closely-divided state. In this episode J. Miles Coleman and Carah Ong Whaley discuss the elections and why they matter.
Links in this episode:
Ep. 11: Democracies in America ft. Greg Laski and Bert Emerson
Greg Laski, civilian Assistant Professor of English at the United States Air Force Academy, and Bert Emerson, Associate Professor of English and Director of the Honors Program at Whitworth University in Spokane, Washington join us to discuss their new book, Democracies in America (Oxford University Press). The book features twenty-five essays written by a diverse group of leading intellectuals in history, literature, religious studies, political philosophy, rhetoric, and other disciplines, and it is organized around enduring dilemmas for society and governance, including republic versus democracy, citizenship and representation.
Links in this Episode:
Democracies in America: Key Words for the 19th Century and Today (Oxford University Press) Use Code AAFLYG6 for 30% off.
Commission on the Practice of Democratic Citizenship, American Academy of Arts and Sciences
Colored Conventions Project
Ep. 10: Try Before You Buy! Primaries, Primaries and More Primaries ft. Kyle Kondik
Greg Laski, civilian Assistant Professor of English at the United States Air Force Academy, and Bert Emerson, Associate Professor of English and Director of the Honors Program at Whitworth University in Spokane, Washington join us to discuss their new book, Democracies in America (Oxford University Press). The book features twenty-five essays written by a diverse group of leading intellectuals in history, literature, religious studies, political philosophy, rhetoric, and other disciplines, and it is organized around enduring dilemmas for society and governance, including republic versus democracy, citizenship and representation.
Links in this Episode:
Democracies in America: Key Words for the 19th Century and Today (Oxford University Press) Use Code AAFLYG6 for 30% off.
Commission on the Practice of Democratic Citizenship, American Academy of Arts and Sciences
Colored Conventions Project
Ep. 9: What Is the State of Biden’s Next Campaign? ft. Kyle Kondik
Should we rethink State of the Union addresses, which have become pretty formulaic? This year, President Joe Biden touted bipartisan accomplishments and focused primarily on the economy and domestic issues. He didn’t really delve into some of the cultural issues on which the parties differ, which was in stark contrast to Arkansas Governor Sarah Huckabee Sanders’ response for Republicans. Even in his discussion of policing, he centered the voices of the parents of Tyre Nicols and the talks that Black parents must have with their kids. But, President Biden also discussed the strains that law enforcement are under. What did the content of Biden’s speech reveal about where he and party are headed as we look to 2024?
Kyle Kondik, Managing Editor of Sabato’s Crystal Ball, joins Carah Ong Whaley for a discussion of President Joe Biden’s State of the Union address and the state of his 2024 campaign.
Links in this Episode:
The State of Biden’s Next Campaign
Transcript of President Joe Biden’s State of the Union Address
Ep. 8: The Importance of Defending Democracy ft. Ambassador Juan Gabriel Valdés
In Chile, a special assembly spent more than two years writing a new constitution to replace the current one that dates back to the country’s military dictatorship. The proposed constitution, which some called the world’s most progressive, would have put a focus on social issues and gender parity, enshrine rights for the indigenous population, and address climate change. In September, Chilean voters rejected the proposal, and on January 11, 2023, Chile’s Congress passed a bill that starts a new process to replace the country’s Pinochet-era constitution.
In this episode, His Excellency Juan Gabriel Valdés, Ambassador of Chile to the United States joins Carah Ong Whaley and Caterina Perez Siino for a conversation about the state of democracy in Chile, Latin America and around the world, and discusses the importance of institutional accountability to protect from authoritarianism. “To defend democracy is very important,” says Ambassador Juan Gabriel Valdés. He also discusses solutions to a wide-range of challenges facing Chile and the world – from migration to policing reform to health system access.
His Excellency Juan Gabriel Valdés was sworn in most recently as Ambassador to the U.S. in spring 2022 and previously served as Ambassador to the U.S. from 2014 to 2018. In addition to Ambassador to the U.S., he has served as Chile’s Ambassador and Permanent Representative to the U.N. and Minister of Foreign Affairs, among other positions. He was a visiting professor at Columbia University in New York, Sorbonne in Paris, and served as Director of Institutional and Strategic Affairs at the University of Chile in Santiago.
Ep. 7: Why Have Presidential and Senate Results Become More Aligned in Recent Elections? Ft. J. Miles Coleman
Outcomes in the Senate races have increasingly become aligned with the presidential vote. Senate candidates frequently performed better a decade or two ago, with 40-point or more performance better than that of the presidential candidate occurring in 2000, 2004, 2008 and 2012. J. Miles Coleman explains this trend and what it portends for the 2024 elections.